Match Info
Copa Rio - 1/8-finalsDate: 22 July 2026, Wednesday
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Nova Iguaçu |
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America RJ |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.93 |
3.00 |
3.75 |
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 |
1.95 |
2.98 |
3.8 |
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2 |
2.89 |
3.94 |
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 |
1.98 |
2.96 |
4.01 |
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 |
1.95 |
2.8 |
3.9 |
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 |
1.93 |
2.92 |
4.15 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.72) |
2.93 ↓
(3.5) |
3.93 ↓
(4.53) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nova Iguaçu
46.1% | Draw
30.9% | America RJ
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nova Iguaçu's form might have worsened.America RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nova Iguaçu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for America RJ than the current prediction. (-3.3%)Nova Iguaçu - America RJ Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', 0 - 1, Lua Lucio (Penalty Awarded),
- 79', 1 - 1, Xandinho ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-0.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 2.Recent performances by Nova Iguaçu have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).America RJ is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Nova Iguaçu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Nova Iguaçu is considered a favorite.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.4:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, Nova Iguaçu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Copa Rio | | | 15.07.26 | America RJ - Nova Iguaçu | 0:1 | | Brazilian Campeonato Carioca | | | 10.02.21 | Nova Iguaçu - America RJ | 1:0 | | 23.01.21 | America RJ - Nova Iguaçu | 1:1 | | 04.07.20 | America RJ - Nova Iguaçu | 1:1 | | 07.03.20 | Nova Iguaçu - America RJ | 0:2 | | 19.02.20 | Nova Iguaçu - America RJ | 2:2 | | 05.02.20 | America RJ - Nova Iguaçu | 1:2 |
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