Match Info
Copa Rio - Quarter-finalsDate: 27 August 2025, WednesdayLocation: Estadio Janio Moraes (Rio de Janeiro)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Nova Iguaçu |
|
Araruama |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.63 |
3 |
5.75 |
 Watch |
 |
1.6 |
2.92 |
7.1 |
|
 |
2.14 |
2.40 |
4.90 |
Watch |
 |
1.61 |
3.16 |
6.21 |
|
 |
1.6 |
2.95 |
6.25 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.75) |
2.89 ↓
(3.3) |
6.04 ↑
(4.43) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nova Iguaçu
53.2% | Draw
31.7% | Araruama
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Araruama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Araruama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araruama than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Araruama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Nova Iguaçu - Araruama Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Caio Hones ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- Penalties (3 - 4)
- 1, (Pen),
- 1, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 5, (Pen),
- 5, (Pen),
- 6, (Pen),
- 6, (Pen),
Preview
1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Araruama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Nova Iguaçu is seen as the favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nova Iguaçu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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