Match Info
Serie D - Round 14Date: 26 July 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Janio Moraes (Rio de Janeiro)
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 |
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 |
|
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Nova Iguaçu |
|
Porto Vitória |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
2.87 |
|
 |
2.28 |
3.15 |
2.82 |
|
 |
2.35 |
3.23 |
2.81 |
|
 |
2.08 |
3.32 |
3.21 |
 Watch |
 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
|
 |
2.35 |
3.05 |
2.89 |
|
 |
1.78 |
3.4 |
4.25 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(1.71) |
3.16 ↓
(3.45) |
3.11 ↓
(4.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nova Iguaçu
41.7% | Draw
28.9% | Porto Vitória
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nova Iguaçu's form might have worsened.Porto Vitória has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Porto Vitória's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+16.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nova Iguaçu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto Vitória, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Nova Iguaçu - Porto Vitória Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Porto Vitória (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto Vitória (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Araujo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 1, Thomasel ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 6)Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Porto Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Nova Iguaçu will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nova Iguaçu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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