Match Info

Copa Rio - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Lourival Gomes (Saquarema) 🌤️ ...


	Sampaio Corrêa FE		Araruama

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.83
	4.35	3.3	1.72
	3.73	3.43	1.89	Watch
	4.11	3.7	1.8
	4.5	3.35	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (1.51)	3.42 ↓ (3.79)	1.8 ↓ (5.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa FE
22.5%

Draw
26.8%

Araruama
50.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.1%

23.9%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-37.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampaio Corrêa FE's form might have worsened.

Araruama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+34.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Araruama's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Sampaio Corrêa FE - Araruama Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Araruama will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Araruama: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Araruama will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

Araruama is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Araruama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Araruama is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa FE
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
16.03.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Madureira	4:2 ✺
12.03.25	Madureira - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Boavista	3:0 ✺
06.03.25	Boavista - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Portuguesa RJ	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWTW
- Araruama FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
09.08.25	Bangu - Araruama	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Araruama - Bangu	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Araruama - São Gonçalo	N/A ✺
06.07.25	Araruama - America RJ	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Audax Rio - Araruama	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LT?WW

Sampaio Corrêa FE - Araruama