Match Info

Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 2

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Sao Januário (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Regazone L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Vasco da Gama		Nova Iguaçu

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.65	5.7
	1.53	3.8	6.49	Watch
	1.53	3.4	5
	1.61	3.9	5.2
	1.57	3.75	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.51)	3.7 ↑ (3.62)	5.74 ↓ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
59%

Draw
24.9%

Nova Iguaçu
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

25.7%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Vasco da Gama - Nova Iguaçu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leo Jardim (G) 2. Rodriguez J. 4. Saldivia A. 43. Lucas Freitas 12. Victor Luis 3. Tche Tche 25. Hugo Moura 7. David 15. Garre B. 9. Matheus Franca 19. GB	31. Mota (G) 2. Davi Soares 4. Yan Silva 3. Wender 6. Sidney Pages 5. Jorge Pedra 8. Leo Rafael 7. Xandinho 10. Rickelme Lopes 11. Lucas Cruz 9. Vini Charopem
Substitutes
28. Adson 11. Andres Gomez 88. Cauan Barros 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 26. Dominguez M. 14. Guilherme Estrella 60. Joao Vitor 98. JP 33. Lyncon 22. Paulinho 29. Rojas J. 64. Walace Fernandes	20. Alexandre Balbino 13. Arthur Neves 12. Arthur Vidal (G) 14. Augusto 22. Iago Lacerda 17. Leo David 19. Luan Capanni 1. Matheus Miranda (G) 21. Pedro Silva 15. Pedro Thomaz 18. Thomasel 16. Ze Gabriel
Coaches
Diniz F.	Carlos Vitor

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Xandinho 🟨,
45', Leo Rafael 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Garre B. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
46', Lucas Freitas ↓, JP ↑,
46', Vini Charopem ↓, Leo David ↑,
46', Matheus Franca ↓, Andres Gomez ↑,
61', Jorge Pedra ↓, Pedro Thomaz ↑,
61', Rickelme Lopes ↓, Thomasel ↑,
66', David ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
67', Andres Gomez 🟨,
75', Lucas Cruz ↓, Iago Lacerda ↑,
80', Victor Luis ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
83', Yan Silva ↓, Augusto ↑,
90+4', Thomasel 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 1.

Vasco is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, Vasco is the clear favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:13. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 3.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
15.01.26	Vasco da Gama - Maricá	4:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.12.25	Vasco da Gama - Corinthians	1:2 ✺
17.12.25	Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	1:1 penalties ✺
11.12.25	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLTWW
- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
15.01.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
27.08.25	Nova Iguaçu - Araruama	1:2 penalties ✺
23.08.25	Araruama - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
13.08.25	Nova Iguaçu - Olaria	1:0 ✺
30.07.25	Olaria - Nova Iguaçu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
05.03.25	Nova Iguaçu - Vasco da Gama	0:3
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
11.01.25	Nova Iguaçu - Vasco da Gama	1:1
17.03.24	Nova Iguaçu - Vasco da Gama	1:0
10.03.24	Vasco da Gama - Nova Iguaçu	1:1
31.01.24	Nova Iguaçu - Vasco da Gama	2:0
07.02.23	Nova Iguaçu - Vasco da Gama	0:2
02.02.22	Vasco da Gama - Nova Iguaçu	3:2

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