Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Silvio Piola (Novara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Novara		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.77	3.20	4.10
	1.80	3.15	3.90	Watch
	1.78	3.43	4.92
	1.95	3.16	3.87	Watch
	1.75	3.35	4.70
	1.74	3.44	4.94	Watch
	1.81	3.20	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.08)	3.28 ↑ (3.05)	4.38 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
51%

Draw
28%

Pergolettese
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

29.3%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Novara's performance.

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pergolettese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+5%)

Novara - Pergolettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Brancolini F. (G) 28. Cannavaro A. 58. Miceli M. 5. Lorenzini F. 70. Valdesi A. 99. Basso G. 19. Collodel R. (C) 23. Zambataro E. 14. Romano M. 11. Ledonne N. 9. Zuppel D.	22. Doldi F. (G) 49. Zaia E. 5. Silvestri T. 15. Dell'Orco C. 70. Antolini J. 20. Tremolada M. 4. Arini M. (C) 21. Evangelista C. 80. Jaouhari Z. 7. Pala A. 11. Corti N.
Substitutes
22. Anfossi P. (G) 36. Arboscello R. 1. Boseggia E. (G) 20. da Graca C. 71. D'Alessio L. 77. Donadio C. 15. Khailoti O. 7. Lanini E. 3. Lartey S. 6. Nichetti M. 4. Ranieri R.	12. Asperti A. (G) 18. Avena P. 73. Bassi E. 30. Berretta A. 1. Cordaro L. (G) 10. Ferrandino D. 90. Giroletti M. J. 77. Orlandi A. 24. Pavesi D. 9. Rossetti M. 76. Roversi L. 8. Stronati R. 17. Tamagni M.
Coaches
Birindelli A.	Giosa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Pala A. ⚽, Zaia E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Valdesi A. ↓, Lartey S. ↑,
61', Basso G. 🟨,
64', Romano M. ↓, Lanini E. ↑,
64', Basso G. ↓, Nichetti M. ↑,
69', Pala A. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
69', Ledonne N. 🟨,
70', Lorenzini F. 🟨,
74', Zambataro E. ↓, Donadio C. ↑,
75', Stronati R. 🟨,
77', Miceli M. 🟨,
77', Evangelista C. ↓, Ferrandino D. ↑,
78', Corti N. ↓, Rossetti M. ↑,
86', Antolini J. ↓, Roversi L. ↑,
86', Jaouhari Z. ↓, Orlandi A. ↑,
88', Ledonne N. ↓, da Graca C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novara won 2.

In recent matches, Novara has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pergolettese has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Novara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Novara will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Novara won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Novara won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Pergolettese	9	2	5	2	5:6	-1	11
13	Novara	9	2	3	4	8:12	-4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
07.09.26	Renate - Novara	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.09.26	Novara - Livorno	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
31.08.26	Novara - Folgore Caratese	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Juventus U23 - Novara	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.26	Alcione - Novara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLTLW
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
06.09.26	Juventus U23 - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Pergolettese - Brescia	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Cittadella - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.08.26	Pro Vercelli - Pergolettese	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.26	Pergolettese - Club Milano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
07.03.26	Novara - Pergolettese	1:1
01.11.25	Pergolettese - Novara	2:2
15.02.25	Pergolettese - Novara	1:2
05.10.24	Novara - Pergolettese	3:1
24.03.24	Pergolettese - Novara	1:1
19.11.23	Novara - Pergolettese	2:1
02.04.23	Novara - Pergolettese	1:2

Novara - Pergolettese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide