Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 3

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: Mino Favini (Meda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Renate		Novara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	2.95	3.00
	2.3	2.92	3.05	Watch
	2.32	3.02	3.34
	2.28	2.97	3.2	Watch
	2.45	2.9	3.05
	2.42	3.05	3.05	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.27)	2.97 ↓ (3.08)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
39.5%

Draw
31%

Novara
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

29.8%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Renate - Novara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Avella M. (G) 13. Motoc A. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 4. Vigano F. 2. De Zen R. 11. Delcarro A. 25. Vassallo F. 14. Cali M. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 92. Anelli N. 9. Karlsson O.	33. Brancolini F. (G) 28. Cannavaro A. 58. Miceli M. 5. Lorenzini F. 70. Valdesi A. 19. Collodel R. (C) 6. Nichetti M. 3. Lartey S. 99. Basso G. 11. Ledonne N. 7. Lanini E.
Substitutes
12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 17. Bonetti A. 29. Botrini T. 10. Careccia S. 8. Dore S. 23. Gobbo L. 7. Italeng J. 47. Kerrigan L. 72. Mastromonaco G. 73. Minotti G. 61. Polp R. (G) 21. Riviera C. 15. Suarez M. 33. Tempre M. 20. Zalazar S.	22. Anfossi P. (G) 36. Arboscello R. 1. Boseggia E. (G) 20. da Graca C. 71. D'Alessio L. 77. Donadio C. 15. Khailoti O. 4. Ranieri R. 14. Romano M. 23. Zambataro E. 9. Zuppel D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Lorenzini F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Nichetti M. ↓, Romano M. ↑,
46', Lanini E. ↓, Zuppel D. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Cannavaro A. ⚽,
59', De Zen R. ↓, Kerrigan L. ↑,
59', Vassallo F. ↓, Italeng J. ↑,
65', Anelli N. 🟨,
67', Basso G. 🟨,
69', 0 - 2, Zuppel D. ⚽, Ledonne N. (A),
72', Anelli N. ↓, Careccia S. ↑,
78', Cali M. ↓, Dore S. ↑,
78', Lartey S. ↓, Zambataro E. ↑,
79', Ruiz Giraldo P. ↓, Riviera C. ↑,
87', Brancolini F. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Auriletto S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renate won 2.

Novara is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Renate might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Renate won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Renate won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Novara	9	2	3	4	8:12	-4	9
20	Renate	8	0	3	5	6:12	-6	3

Last Results with these Odds

Renate - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.5%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Novara - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.65%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.09.26	Cittadella - Renate	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
31.08.26	Renate - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Alcione - Renate	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.08.26	Lumezzane - Renate	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
13.05.26	Renate - Casarano	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL
- Novara Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.09.26	Novara - Livorno	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
31.08.26	Novara - Folgore Caratese	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Juventus U23 - Novara	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.26	Alcione - Novara	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Virtus Entella - Novara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
28.03.26	Renate - Novara	3:1
23.11.25	Novara - Renate	0:1
23.02.25	Novara - Renate	1:0
11.10.24	Renate - Novara	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.08.24	Renate - Novara	2:3 penalties
Italian Serie C Group A
06.03.24	Novara - Renate	1:1
28.10.23	Renate - Novara	2:2

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