Match Info

Date: 2 March 2022, Wednesday


	Derthona		Novara

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	1.93
	3.5	3.25	1.92
	3.47	3.26	1.93
	3.62	3.35	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 (3.47)	3.29 ↑ (3.13)	1.93 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona
26%

Draw
27.4%

Novara
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

28.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

19.6%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derthona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Derthona - Novara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

HSL Derthona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Novara will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona FBC
Italian Serie D - Group A
27.02.22	Derthona - PDHAE	1:1 ✺
23.02.22	Ticino - Derthona	0:2 ✺
20.02.22	Asti - Derthona	2:3 ✺
12.02.22	Borgosesia - Derthona	0:0 ✺
06.02.22	Derthona - Caronnese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWTL
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
27.02.22	Ticino - Novara	0:0 ✺
20.02.22	Novara - Ligorna	0:1 ✺
16.02.22	Bra - Novara	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Novara - Imperia	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Varese - Novara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLTWW

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