Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Rajko Mitić (Belgrade) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	18:45	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik
Bolivia	13:45	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	01:45	ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:45	Disney+
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	18:45	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Ecuador	12:45	ESPN 2
Finland	19:45	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	18:45	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	21:45	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	18:45	RTL+, Servus TV
Greece	19:45	ANT 1+
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	18:45	Sport 1
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
Kenya	20:45	Gotv
Kosovo	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Macao	01:45	TDM TV
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	11:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Mongolia	01:45	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 5
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	18:45	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Pakistan	22:45	Tapmad
Paraguay	14:45	ESPN 2
Peru	12:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Extra 3
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 2
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 1, RTS 1
Singapore	01:45	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	18:45	Sport 1
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 1
South Africa	19:45	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	02:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	20:45	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, Disney+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus, TV 360
International	17:45	VIX App


	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade		Lille

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2.25
	2.65	3.4	2.55
	3	3.6	2.35
	3.03	3.59	2.37
	2.97	3.6	2.31	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.3
	3.12	3.59	2.41
	2.66	3.6	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (3.13)	3.54 ↑ (3.45)	2.37 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
32.8%

Draw
27%

Lille
40.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.4%

27.6%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

27.2%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.8%	10.6%	25.5%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 30 - 63.8%). Lille will win (votes: 12 - 25.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 50.1% – 77.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Lille (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Crvena Zvezda (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Crvena Zvezda (1.56) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 60%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Lille (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus (G) 25. Erakovic S. 5. Rodrigo 30. Tebo Uchenna F. 66. Seol Young-Woo 20. Handel T. 33. Krunic R. (C) 23. Tiknizyan N. 22. Kostov V. 17. Bruno Duarte 42. Enem J.	1. Ozer B. (G) 22. Santos T. 23. Mandi A. 18. Mbemba Ch. 15. Perraud R. 21. Andre B. (C) 32. Bouaddi A. 28. Perrin G. 10. Haraldsson H. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M. 9. Giroud O.
Substitutes
89. Arnautovic M. 71. Avdic A. 6. Bajo M. 28. Draskic V. (G) 21. Elsnik T. 18. Glazer O. (G) 45. Gudelj S. 10. Katai A. 35. Owusu D. 13. Veljkovic M. 40. Zaric L.	6. Bentaleb N. 16. Bodart A. (G) 42. Boussadia S. 27. Correia F. 35. Diaoune S. 20. Edjouma N. 38. Goffi A. 60. Lanssade Z. (G) 17. Mukau N. 3. Ngoy N. 24. Verdonk C.
Coaches
Stankovic D.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Giroud O. ⚽, Andre B. (A),
36', Tebo Uchenna F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Enem J. ↓, Arnautovic M. ↑,
46', Tebo Uchenna F. ↓, Veljkovic M. ↑,
52', Bouaddi A. 🟨,
68', Handel T. 🟨,
71', Handel T. ↓, Elsnik T. ↑,
71', Perrin G. ↓, Correia F. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
94', Santos T. ↓, Ngoy N. ↑,
94', Haraldsson H. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
99', 0 - 2, Ngoy N. ⚽, Correia F. (A),
104', Rodrigo ↓, Owusu D. ↑,
104', Kostov V. ↓, Katai A. ↑,
106', Tiknizyan N. ↓, Avdic A. ↑,
106', Perraud R. ↓, Verdonk C. ↑,
120+1', Avdic A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.

Crvena Zvezda has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lille's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Ivanic M. (Inactive) Lucic V. (Yellow Cards) Radonjic N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Lille: Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Mbappe E. (Thigh Injury) Meunier T. (Muscle Injury) Sahraoui O. (Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Lille: Alexsandro (Calf Injury) Caillard M. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Crvena Zvezda won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Crvena Zvezda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
22.02.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Partizan	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Lille - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
14.02.26	Železničar Pančevo - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:3 ✺
Serbian Cup
11.02.26	Budućnost Dobanovci - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:4 ✺
Serbian Superliga
07.02.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Novi Pazar	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
22.02.26	Angers - Lille	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Lille - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.02.26	Lille - Brest	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Metz - Lille	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Lyon - Lille	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Lille - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:1
06.11.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lille	1:0

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