Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4, RTBF Auvio Direct
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	21:00	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport, New World TV
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	Sport 1
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Moji, Vidio
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	05:00	Wowow Live
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Macao	04:00	TDM TV
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Mongolia	04:00	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Extra 3
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1, RTS 1
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sports 3
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 4
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	23:00	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, Disney+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 5
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus, TV 360
International	20:00	VIX App


	Lille		Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	5.75
	1.55	4.55	6.1
	1.53	4.45	6.29
	1.64	4.19	5.05	Watch
	1.57	3.9	5
	1.58	4.51	6.25
	1.6	4	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.78)	4.28 ↑ (3.89)	5.73 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
60.9%

Draw
22.4%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
16.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24.4%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

26.3%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lille's performance.

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crvena Zvezda Belgrade might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.7%	4.1%	8.2%

Lille - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Crvena Zvezda (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Lille (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lille will win (64 of 73 users predict this - 87.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.13% – 95.21%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lille will win (30 of 30 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 32 - 94.1%). Crvena Zvezda (votes: 2 - 5.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozer B. (G) 32. Bouaddi A. 23. Mandi A. 3. Ngoy N. 15. Perraud R. 17. Mukau N. 21. Andre B. (C) 28. Perrin G. 10. Haraldsson H. 27. Correia F. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M.	1. Matheus (G) 25. Erakovic S. 30. Tebo Uchenna F. 5. Rodrigo 66. Seol Young-Woo 20. Handel T. 33. Krunic R. (C) 23. Tiknizyan N. 17. Bruno Duarte 37. Lucic V. 42. Enem J.
Substitutes
39. Baret L. 6. Bentaleb N. 16. Bodart A. (G) 42. Boussadia S. 35. Diaoune S. 20. Edjouma N. 9. Giroud O. 38. Goffi A. 60. Lanssade Z. (G) 18. Mbemba Ch. 22. Santos T. 24. Verdonk C.	89. Arnautovic M. 71. Avdic A. 6. Bajo M. 28. Draskic V. (G) 18. Glazer O. (G) 45. Gudelj S. 10. Katai A. 22. Kostov V. 35. Owusu D. 24. Stankovic N. 13. Veljkovic M. 40. Zaric L.
Coaches
Genesio B.	Stankovic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', Stankovic D. 🟨,
40', Correia F. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Tebo Uchenna F. ⚽, Enem J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mukau N. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
46', Haraldsson H. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
62', Perrin G. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
63', Enem J. ↓, Arnautovic M. ↑,
77', Bruno Duarte ↓, Katai A. ↑,
77', Tiknizyan N. ↓, Avdic A. ↑,
77', Correia F. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
77', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Diaoune S. ↑,
82', Lucic V. 🟨,
84', Lucic V. ↓, Stankovic N. ↑,
84', Erakovic S. ↓, Veljkovic M. ↑,
89', Seol Young-Woo 🟨,
90', Matheus 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Lille has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Crvena Zvezda is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lille is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Calf Injury) Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Mbappe E. (Thigh Injury) Sahraoui O. (Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Lille: Edjouma N. (Muscle Injury) Meunier T. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lille won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
14.02.26	Lille - Brest	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Metz - Lille	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Lyon - Lille	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Lille - Freiburg	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
25.01.26	Lille - Strasbourg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TTLWL
- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
14.02.26	Železničar Pančevo - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:3 ✺
Serbian Cup
11.02.26	Budućnost Dobanovci - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:4 ✺
Serbian Superliga
07.02.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Novi Pazar	5:0 ✺
01.02.26	Čukarički - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lille	1:0

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