Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 17

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Ofelia Rosenzuaig (Buenos Aires)


	Agropecuario Argentino		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.1	3.9	Watch
	2.05	2.95	3.75
	2.02	2.92	3.95	Watch
	2.16	3	4.05
	2.16	2.68	4.25	Watch
	2.05	2.8	4
	2.02	2.86	3.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.03)	2.9 ↓ (3.02)	3.98 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agropecuario Argentino
44.8%

Draw
31.9%

Patronato Parana
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

30.9%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

30.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agropecuario Argentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Agropecuario Argentino - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Agropecuario will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acosta L. (G) 4. Aguirre E. 2. Lecanda T. 6. Aguirre A. 3. Ramos M. 8. Aranda B. 5. Valdez J. 10. Castro R. 7. Blando B. 9. Barrera L. 11. Mosqueira R.	1. Sosa A. (C) 4. Bravo F. 2. Diaz G. 6. Meritello F. 3. Moreyra F. 8. Salas J. 5. Rueda W. 10. Cortes B. 11. Pereyra V. L. 7. Barolin J. 9. Reynaga R.
Substitutes
13. Actis D. 19. Auzqui C. 18. Gagliardi A. 16. Gallucci S. 14. Molina M. 17. Napolitano A. 15. Perez F. 20. Ruiz Diaz D. 12. Salort G. (G)	20. Attis T. 15. Barinaga J. P. 18. Enrique M. 14. Genez N. 17. Miro A. 13. Piccioni S. 16. Picco A. 12. Rivasseau F. (G) 19. Soldano F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Salas J. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Rueda W. ⚽,
35', Valdez J. 🟨,
42', Aguirre A. 🟨,
45', Acosta L. 🟨,
45+2', Aguirre E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Pereyra V. L. 🟨,
55', Pereyra V. L. 🟨,
55', Barrera L. ↓, Gagliardi A. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Blando B. ⚽, Mosqueira R. (A),
57', Reynaga R. ↓, Miro A. ↑,
61', Aguirre A. ↓, Molina M. ↑,
68', Ramos M. 🟨,
78', Barolin J. ↓, Attis T. ↑,
79', Salas J. ↓, Genez N. ↑,
81', Moreyra F. ↓, Piccioni S. ↑,
82', Aranda B. ↓, Auzqui C. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 13).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Agropecuario may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Agropecuario will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Agropecuario won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Agropecuario won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Agropecuario Argentino - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 46.04%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Patronato Parana - the odds 4.06 are the expected chance of winning is 23.02%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agropecuario Argentino
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.05.26	Colegiales - Agropecuario Argentino	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Agropecuario Argentino	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTLTW
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.05.26	Patronato Parana - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Güemes - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Patronato Parana - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	San Martín de San Juan - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Patronato Parana - Nueva Chicago	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.06.24	Patronato Parana - Agropecuario Argentino	4:0
02.02.24	Agropecuario Argentino - Patronato Parana	1:0
16.10.23	Patronato Parana - Agropecuario Argentino	1:1
03.06.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Patronato Parana	2:1

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