Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 16

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio 23 de Agosto (Jujuy)


	Gimnasia Jujuy		Nueva Chicago

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.7	6.25	Watch
	1.63	3.40	5.25
	1.55	3.55	5.9	Watch
	1.57	3.8	7.65
	1.67	3.21	6.51	Watch
	1.62	3.3	6
	1.54	3.36	6.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.76)	3.47 ↑ (3.31)	6.3 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia Jujuy
58.5%

Draw
26.7%

Nueva Chicago
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

28.2%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

27.5%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia Jujuy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia Jujuy's performance.

Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Gimnasia Jujuy - Nueva Chicago Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Gimnasia Jujuy (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Gimnasia Jujuy will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia Jujuy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Minervino D. 2. Cosaro G. 6. Dematei N. 3. Lazarte M. 8. Gallardo D. 5. Soria H. 7. Maidana F. 10. Molina F. 9. Franzoni J. 11. Cachi M.	1. Masuero F. (G) 4. Zalazar R. E. 2. Gissi D. 6. Paz G. 3. Trindade G. 7. Vera M. 5. Mendez E. 8. Gonzalez A. 11. Perez M. 10. Ocampo T. 9. Cocimano S.
Substitutes
18. Arganaraz A. 20. Bianchi O. 17. Casa M. 15. Endrizzi E. 14. Lopez D. 19. Paradela F. 16. Pombo C. 12. Ramos Mingo M. (G) 13. Varela J.	20. Balbuena R. 19. Barros D. 17. Cardozo E. 12. Jachfe L. (G) 13. Moreno F. 14. Palazzo B. 15. Ramirez R. 16. Rodriguez T. 18. Romero M. S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Minervino D. ⚽, Molina F. (A),
44', 2 - 0, Cachi M. ⚽, Maidana F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mendez E. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
53', Minervino D. 🟨,
64', Ramirez R. 🟨,
67', Franzoni J. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
67', Molina F. ↓, Casa M. ↑,
70', Trindade G. ↓, Barros D. ↑,
71', Ocampo T. ↓, Balbuena R. ↑,
73', Paz G. 🟨,
74', 3 - 0, Casa M. ⚽, Bianchi O. (A),
75', Gallardo D. ↓, Arganaraz A. ↑,
76', Cachi M. ↓, Paradela F. ↑,
76', Perez M. ↓, Romero M. S. ↑,
76', Cocimano S. ↓, Rodriguez T. ↑,
81', Dematei N. ↓, Varela J. ↑,
82', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
83', 4 - 0, Varela J. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Jujuy won 2.

Gimnasia Jujuy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nueva Chicago's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Gimnasia Jujuy is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Jujuy won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 0.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia Jujuy won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.06.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - San Martín de San Juan	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
30.05.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Belgrano	2:3 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Temperley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLTW
- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.06.26	Nueva Chicago - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Nueva Chicago - Temperley	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Deportivo Maipú - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
11.05.26	Nueva Chicago - Club Almagro	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Patronato Parana - Nueva Chicago	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.09.25	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0
10.05.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Nueva Chicago	2:1
27.07.22	Gimnasia Jujuy - Nueva Chicago	2:0
10.02.19	Gimnasia Jujuy - Nueva Chicago	1:2
02.12.17	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1
02.07.17	Gimnasia Jujuy - Nueva Chicago	2:2
03.12.16	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:1

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