Match Info
ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 16Date: 21 May 2024, TuesdayLocation: Estadio Nueva Chicago (Buenos Aires)Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
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Nueva Chicago |
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Ferro Carril Oeste |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.7 |
2.63 |
3.3 |
|
 |
2.55 |
2.7 |
2.95 |
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 |
2.65 |
2.75 |
2.95 |
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2.8 |
2.75 |
3.05 |
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2.8 |
2.75 |
3.05 |
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2.6 |
2.75 |
3 |
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2.66 |
2.68 |
3.05 |
 Watch |
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2.6 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.26) |
2.7 ↓
(2.9) |
3.07 ↓
(3.51) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nueva Chicago
35% | Draw
34.6% | Ferro Carril Oeste
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nueva Chicago's form might have worsened.Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nueva Chicago, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-3.6%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.
Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 0:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1.  Ferrero F. (G)
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7. Amarfil M.
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3. Arroyo D.
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8. Bottari T.
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2. Callegari S.
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10. Cardozo E.
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9. Castro F.
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4. Martinez A.
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11. Paz A.
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6. Rossi T.
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5. Vega G. (C)
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| Substitutes |
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15. Altamirano G.
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17. Arguello M.
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14.  Contreras A.
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12. Diaz L. (G)
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20. Maggi I.
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19. Pastorelli A.
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13. Rocaniere G.
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16.  Rodriguez J.
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18. Villalba R.
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| Coaches |
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. Montenegro A.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', Diaz G. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 0, Cardozo E. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 0, Castro F. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Vega G. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 1, Blanco R. (Pen),
- 58', Retamar K. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 65', 3 - 1, Castro F. ⚽,
- 70', Bottari T. ↓, Arguello M. ↑,
- 70', Cardozo E. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
- 70', Paz A. ↓, Pastorelli A. ↑,
- 74', Villalba R. 🟨,
- 75', Vega G. ↓, Altamirano G. ↑,
- 75', Perez A. ↓, Montiel N. ↑,
- 75', Mosca C. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 79', Altamirano G. 🟨,
- 81', Arguello M. 🟨,
- 82', Castro F. ↓, Maggi I. ↑,
- 88', Rodriguez M. ↓, Fernandez Pinto J. ↑,
- 88', Mussis F. ↓, Lucero L. ↑,
Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).Last 5 head-to-head matches Nueva Chicago won 2. Recent matches Nueva Chicago is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Ferro Carril is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Nueva Chicago will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Nueva Chicago won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-17. Including matches at home between the teams Nueva Chicago won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.
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Last Results with these Odds
Nueva Chicago - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.25%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Argentinian Primera Nacional | | | 14.02.22 | Nueva Chicago - Ferro Carril Oeste | 0:1 | | 15.03.20 | Nueva Chicago - Ferro Carril Oeste | 1:1 | | 20.09.19 | Ferro Carril Oeste - Nueva Chicago | 2:1 | | 25.08.18 | Nueva Chicago - Ferro Carril Oeste | 2:0 | | 30.04.18 | Ferro Carril Oeste - Nueva Chicago | 0:1 | | 10.05.17 | Nueva Chicago - Ferro Carril Oeste | 1:1 | | 12.10.16 | Ferro Carril Oeste - Nueva Chicago | 4:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
