Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 12

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)


	Aldosivi		Nueva Chicago

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3.6
	2.2	2.9	3.3
	2.25	2.8	3.6
	2.33	2.9	3.87
	2.33	2.76	3.87
	2.15	3	3.5
	2.13	3.04	3.57
	2.24	2.95	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.11)	2.91 ↓ (3)	3.6 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
41.8%

Draw
32.2%

Nueva Chicago
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

30.5%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

29.7%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

The chances for Nueva Chicago have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	87.5%	0%

Aldosivi - Nueva Chicago Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carranza J. (G) 2. Soto G. 6. Sills J. 3. Godoy F. 5. Pineiro G. 4. Gonzalez R. 11. Alonso A. 8. Ubeda S. 7. Sosa A. 9. Colazo A. 10. Torres E.	1. Ferrero F. (G) 4. Martinez A. 2. Callegari S. (C) 6. Contreras A. 3. Ramirez R. 8. Bottari T. 5. Vega G. 7. Amarfil M. 10. Escobar A. 9. Castro F. 11. Paz A.
Substitutes
20. Andrada F. 12. Atamanuk C. (G) 14. Britez E. 18. Enriquez I. 17. Guerrico I. 19. Guzman N. 13. Iniguez E. 16. Lujan S. 15. Morello M.	15. Altamirano G. 16. Cardozo E. 12. Diaz L. (G) 20. Maggi I. 18. Pastorelli A. 14. Rodriguez J. 19. Trinidad E. 17. Villalba R. 13. Zurita M.
Coaches
Yllana A.	Montenegro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Alonso A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Torres E. ↓, Andrada F. ↑,
70', Escobar A. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
75', Ramirez R. 🟨,
76', Castro F. ↓, Maggi I. ↑,
77', Martinez A. 🟨,
79', Colazo A. ↓, Guzman N. ↑,
88', Pineiro G. ↓, Lujan S. ↑,
90+3', Vega G. 🟨,
90+3', Martinez A. ↓, Zurita M. ↑,
90+4', Paz A. ↓, Pastorelli A. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 1.

Aldosivi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Nueva Chicago is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aldosivi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Aldosivi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldosivi won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Aldosivi	2:3 ✺
07.04.24	Aldosivi - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:2 ✺
01.04.24	Mitre - Aldosivi	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Aldosivi - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Aldosivi - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWTT
- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.24	Nueva Chicago - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
05.04.24	Colón - Nueva Chicago	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Nueva Chicago - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
25.03.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
18.03.24	Nueva Chicago - Defensores Unidos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.09.17	Aldosivi - Nueva Chicago	3:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.09.15	Nueva Chicago - Aldosivi	3:1
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.12.14	Nueva Chicago - Aldosivi	0:0
06.10.14	Nueva Chicago - Aldosivi	3:0
09.08.14	Aldosivi - Nueva Chicago	1:1
23.02.13	Nueva Chicago - Aldosivi	0:0
25.08.12	Aldosivi - Nueva Chicago	2:1

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