Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 27

Date: 29 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nueva Chicago (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)


	Nueva Chicago		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	5.25
	1.85	3.1	4.33
	1.75	2.9	5.25
	1.81	3.21	5.46
	1.85	3	4.33
	1.77	3.32	5.25
	1.88	3.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.81)	3.09 ↑ (2.98)	4.91 ↓ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nueva Chicago
51%

Draw
30.1%

Guillermo Brown
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

30.9%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

30.5%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Guillermo Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Nueva Chicago - Guillermo Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: Nueva Chicago will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monllor D. (C) 4. Tomino J. I. 2. Fedorco J. 6. Vesco L. 3. Gauna J. 11. Bergara M. 5. Mercado Carrizo D. A. 8. Caceres F. 7. Obregon E. 10. Curruhinca A. 9. Naya E.	1. Ramirez R. (G) 4. Salomoni J. 2. Olivera W. 6. Tecilla N. 3. Valor M. 7. Werro V. 8. Gonzalez R. 5. Romero E. 10. Assennato T. 9. Pino M. 11. Fernandez M. (C)
Substitutes
13. Arroyo D. 19. Cardozo E. 15. Etcheverry E. 12. Ferrero F. (G) 17. Gonzalez J. 16. Lopez L. 14. Lorenzo A. 20. Ortega L. 18. Spetale A.	17. Alvarez B. 15. Garcia E. 12. Garcia R. (G) 19. Gonzalez A. 18. Hernandez S. 16. Luayza M. 14. Navarro G. 20. Rodriguez J. 13. Velazco N.
Coaches
Montenegro A.	Esmerado G.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nueva Chicago won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Nueva Chicago could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nueva Chicago is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Nueva Chicago won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Nueva Chicago won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.07.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Nueva Chicago	2:1 ✺
14.07.23	Nueva Chicago - Club Almagro	2:0 ✺
08.07.23	San Telmo - Nueva Chicago	0:2 ✺
01.07.23	Nueva Chicago - Temperley	0:0 ✺
25.06.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Nueva Chicago	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWTT
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.07.23	Guillermo Brown - All Boys	2:1 ✺
16.07.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
09.07.23	Guillermo Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	Def. de Belgrano awarded ✺
01.07.23	Almirante Brown - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
25.06.23	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Morón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WL?TL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.03.23	Guillermo Brown - Nueva Chicago	0:2
18.04.22	Nueva Chicago - Guillermo Brown	2:2
03.01.21	Nueva Chicago - Guillermo Brown	1:1
13.10.19	Guillermo Brown - Nueva Chicago	2:0
16.09.18	Guillermo Brown - Nueva Chicago	0:1
15.04.18	Guillermo Brown - Nueva Chicago	2:0
29.04.17	Nueva Chicago - Guillermo Brown	2:0

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