Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 23

Date: 1 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento (Isidro Casanova)

Referee: Barraza J. (Arg)


	Almirante Brown		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.8
	2	3.2	3.5
	1.95	3.15	4.15
	1.98	3.27	4.27
	2	3.2	3.5
	1.95	3.38	4
	1.96	3.25	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.94)	3.26 ↑ (2.94)	3.86 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
47.2%

Draw
28.6%

Guillermo Brown
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

30.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

29.8%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Guillermo Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	58.3%	8.3%

Almirante Brown - Guillermo Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Almirante Brown will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez R. (G) 4. Guzman L. 2. Dattola A. 6. Barrionuevo A. 3. Zacaria J. 8. Santiago M. 5. Vazquez J. 7. Escurra J. L. 10. Vera S. 9. Rivero G. 11. Batallini M.	1. Ramirez R. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. 2. Olivera W. 6. Tecilla N. 3. Velasquez S. 8. Werro V. 5. Romero E. 10. Garcia E. 7. Assennato T. 9. Pino M. 11. Fernandez M.
Substitutes
19. Bazan N. 17. Belloso M. 12. Ferreyra N. (G) 20. Garcia D. 14. Ledesma D. 16. Mino B. 13. Moreno C. 15. Ochoa A. 18. Stable Facundo N.	20. Baez B. 13. Fleita J. 15. Luayza M. 17. Navarro G. 19. Rodriguez J. 18. Rolle M. 14. Salomoni J. 12. Velazquez F. (G) 16. Viera Gaston
Coaches
Pinto G.	Esmerado G.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).

Recent matches Almirante Brown is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guillermo Brown is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Almirante Brown have a series of guest games.

Almirante Brown will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.06.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Almirante Brown	4:0 ✺
19.06.23	Almirante Brown - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
14.06.23	Patronato Parana - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
10.06.23	San Telmo - Almirante Brown	3:1 ✺
03.06.23	Temperley - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWLT
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.06.23	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Morón	0:2 ✺
18.06.23	Güemes - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
10.06.23	Guillermo Brown - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
04.06.23	Guillermo Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:2 ✺
28.05.23	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.02.23	Guillermo Brown - Almirante Brown	0:0
20.02.22	Guillermo Brown - Almirante Brown	3:1
10.06.12	Guillermo Brown - Almirante Brown	1:1

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