Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 6

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	Numancia		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.3
	2.05	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.12	3.08	3.65
	2.01	3.1	3.55
	2.02	3.15	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.79)	3.14 ↓ (3.29)	3.49 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
44.8%

Draw
29.1%

Badajoz
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

28%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

27.6%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Numancia's form might have worsened.

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Badajoz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Numancia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Badajoz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Numancia - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Numancia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Badajoz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Numancia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Numancia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.10.23	Illescas - Numancia	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
27.09.23	Talavera de la Reina - Numancia	2:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.09.23	Numancia - Atlético Paso	3:1 ✺
16.09.23	Llerenense - Numancia	0:2 ✺
10.09.23	Numancia - Montijo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWL
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.10.23	Badajoz - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Illescas - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Badajoz - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
10.09.23	Atlético Paso - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Badajoz - Unión Adarve	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTLLL

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