Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 28

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos (Soria)


	Numancia		Castellón

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.75	2.55
	2.75	2.8	2.5
	2.9	2.85	2.45
	2.87	3.04	2.6
	2.83	2.99	2.58
	2.75	2.85	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.9)	2.88 ↑ (2.7)	2.55 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
32.4%

Draw
31.7%

Castellón
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

33.7%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

35.9%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Numancia - Castellón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Numancia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Castellón is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Castellón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Numancia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.03.23	Real Sociedad B - Numancia	3:0 ✺
05.03.23	Numancia - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	La Nucía - Numancia	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Numancia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:1 ✺
11.02.23	Sabadell - Numancia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTWWW
- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.03.23	Castellón - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Amorebieta - Castellón	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Intercity - Castellón	3:1 ✺
19.02.23	Castellón - Atlético Baleares	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Castellón - Eldense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.12.22	Castellón - Numancia	0:1

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