Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 23

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta (Sabadell)


	Sabadell		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.75	3.4
	2.25	2.75	3.2
	2.2	2.7	3.5
	2.41	2.84	3.44
	2.4	2.78	3.34
	2.32	2.8	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.7)	2.77 ↑ (2.75)	3.35 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
39.7%

Draw
33%

Numancia
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

32.9%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

32.5%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sabadell's performance.

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Numancia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sabadell that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Numancia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sabadell - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 0.

Sabadell is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Numancia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sabadell will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Sabadell won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.02.23	Amorebieta - Sabadell	2:2 ✺
29.01.23	Calahorra - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Sabadell - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Atlético Baleares - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Sabadell - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TTTWW
- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.02.23	Numancia - Calahorra	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Alcoyano - Numancia	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Numancia - Amorebieta	2:3 ✺
15.01.23	SD Logroñés - Numancia	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Numancia - Osasuna B	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.11.22	Numancia - Sabadell	3:3
Spanish LaLiga2
08.02.15	Numancia - Sabadell	3:0
06.09.14	Sabadell - Numancia	0:3
23.02.14	Sabadell - Numancia	0:0
21.09.13	Numancia - Sabadell	3:1
05.05.13	Sabadell - Numancia	2:1
02.12.12	Numancia - Sabadell	2:1

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