Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 38

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday


	Numancia		Cornellà

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	4.2
	1.8	3.2	4
	1.9	3	4.5
	1.88	3.04	4.94
	1.84	3.14	4.7
	1.88	3.1	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.12)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)	4.41 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
49.5%

Draw
29.7%

Cornellà
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

28.2%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Numancia's performance.

Cornellà has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cornellà might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cornellà could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Numancia - Cornellà Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Numancia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Cornellà will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ayesa G. (G) 18. Valin J. 5. Roman F. 15. Perez G. 3. Pol J. 14. Munoz I. 22. Toni Arranz 20. Tur J. A. 6. Arthur 21. Sanchez D. 9. Mesa R.	1. Anacker L. (G) 20. Martinez P. 4. Hernandez A. 5. Falcon E. 3. Martin G. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 19. Niang M. 6. Tavares R. 11. Nana 23. Arroyo N. 9. Enri R.
Substitutes
7. Amorrortu I. 2. Borja 10. Carrillo J. 8. Cotan A. 13. Fabricio (G) 28. Garcia O. 12. Mahicas J. 17. Mancebo A. 4. Simic M. 11. Tamayo J. 16. Vicario J. 19. Zarzana A.	15. Blanco C. 44. Bobi A. 18. Folch R. 17. Fullana F. 10. Gil 13. Juanvi (G) 8. Planas A. 7. Traore M. 28. Vilaplana Dachs M.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 15).

Numancia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cornellà is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Numancia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Numancia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.05.23	UD Logroñés - Numancia	1:0 ✺
14.05.23	Numancia - Eldense	0:0 ✺
04.05.23	Osasuna B - Numancia	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Numancia - SD Logroñés	1:3 ✺
22.04.23	Intercity - Numancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLLT
- UE Cornellà
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.05.23	Cornellà - Sabadell	1:0 ✺
14.05.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
07.05.23	Cornellà - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Real Sociedad B - Cornellà	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Cornellà - Calahorra	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.12.22	Cornellà - Numancia	1:0

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