Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 36

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday


	Numancia		Eldense

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	2.8
	2.4	2.8	2.8
	2.66	2.92	2.9
	2.6	3.05	2.76
	2.46	2.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (3.16)	2.92 ↑ (2.9)	2.82 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
36.4%

Draw
31.3%

Eldense
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

31.6%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

30.2%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Numancia's performance.

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eldense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eldense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Numancia - Eldense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Numancia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Numancia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Numancia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.05.23	Osasuna B - Numancia	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Numancia - SD Logroñés	1:3 ✺
22.04.23	Intercity - Numancia	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Numancia	0:1 ✺
09.04.23	Numancia - Barcelona B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTWT
- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.05.23	Eldense - Barcelona B	2:2 ✺
29.04.23	UD Logroñés - Eldense	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Eldense - Alcoyano	2:2 ✺
15.04.23	Calahorra - Eldense	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Amorebieta - Eldense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.09.22	Eldense - Numancia	0:0

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