Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Numancia		Getafe B

	1	X	2
	1.49	4	5.25
	1.71	3.55	4.3
	1.8	3.6	4.21
	1.74	3.58	4.26	Watch
	1.53	3.75	5
	1.71	3.6	4.56
	1.71	3.55	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.57)	3.66 ↑ (3.5)	4.55 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
54.9%

Draw
25%

Getafe B
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

25.9%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

23.7%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Getafe B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Numancia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Getafe B than the current prediction. (-5%)

Numancia - Getafe B Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Numancia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Alcalde J. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.

Numancia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Getafe B is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Numancia is the team to beat.

We predict that Numancia will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Numancia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Numancia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.05.25	Getafe B - Numancia	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	Numancia - Real Avilés	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	Valladolid B - Numancia	1:3 ✺
20.04.25	Guijuelo - Numancia	1:4 ✺
13.04.25	Numancia - Real Ávila	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWW
- Getafe B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.05.25	Getafe B - Numancia	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.05.25	Cacereño - Getafe B	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	Getafe B - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	CD Guadalajara - Getafe B	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Getafe B - Melilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.05.25	Getafe B - Numancia	0:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.03.24	Getafe B - Numancia	0:3
29.10.23	Numancia - Getafe B	1:1

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