Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 10

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday


	Laredo		Numancia

	1	X	2
	4.4	2.95	1.8
	4.6	3.1	1.78
	4.45	3.18	1.83
	4.11	3.15	1.9	Watch
	4.83	3.04	1.83
	4.6	3.1	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↓ (5.6)	3.09 ↓ (3.45)	1.82 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laredo
20.3%

Draw
29.6%

Numancia
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

26.6%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

26.2%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laredo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Numancia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laredo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Numancia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Laredo - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Jony (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 0 - 2, Ribeiro A. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 3, Conte F. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 3, Helguera O. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Laredo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Numancia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Laredo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Numancia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Laredo
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Laredo - Yeclano Deportivo	0:6 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.24	Salamanca - Laredo	5:1 ✺
19.10.24	Laredo - Llanera	0:0 ✺
13.10.24	Bergantiños - Laredo	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Laredo - Coruxo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTTL
- CD Numancia
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Numancia - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.24	Numancia - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Salamanca - Numancia	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Numancia - Langreo	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Llanera - Numancia	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTTW

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