Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday


	Gimnástica de Torrelavega		Numancia

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	1.93
	3.55	3.25	1.96
	3.54	3.55	1.97
	3.48	3.43	1.96	Watch
	3.61	3.24	2.01
	3.55	3.25	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (5)	3.3 ↓ (3.46)	1.97 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica de Torrelavega
25.8%

Draw
27.7%

Numancia
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

26.7%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

26.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica de Torrelavega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnástica de Torrelavega's performance.

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Numancia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnástica de Torrelavega that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Numancia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 1 - 0, Ruiz C. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: )).

Torrelavega is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Numancia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Numancia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica de Torrelavega
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.11.24	Laredo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Salamanca	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Llanera - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Bergantiños	1:3 ✺
12.10.24	Coruxo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLT
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.11.24	Numancia - Escobedo	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Laredo - Numancia	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Numancia - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.24	Numancia - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Salamanca - Numancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLWT

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