Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Sabadell		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.7
	2.55	2.85	2.65
	2.6	2.95	2.8	Watch
	2.69	2.9	2.9
	2.69	2.9	2.9
	2.65	2.95	2.74
	2.6	2.9	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.4)	2.91 ↑ (2.9)	2.77 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
35.1%

Draw
31.6%

Real Sociedad B
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

31.7%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

32.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Sabadell - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ortola A. (G) 23. Monroy P. 5. Resta P. 4. Pujol R. 3. Carrion J. 11. Astals D. 6. Beitia C. 7. Moyano A. 10. Herrera C. 26. Sander Ballero 9. Martinez M.	1. Ayesa G. (G) 22. Ruperez I. 4. Rodriguez P. 5. Cantero Y. 3. Zoilo A. 7. Dadie Izagirre A. 6. Gorrotxategi J. 21. Balda J. 18. Garcia E. 19. Azkune E. 9. Fiabema B.
Substitutes
20. Baena R. 12. Domenech M. 18. Farres B. 19. Garcia N. 8. Gualda A. 17. Kopotun V. 1. Leal F. (G) 22. Naranjo G. 24. Tou S. (G)	23. Agote U. 15. Astigarraga E. 29. Beitia L. 14. Camara I. 10. Goti Lopez M. 16. Lebarbier A. 27. Ochieng J. 30. Olasagasti L. (G) 28. Orobengoa E.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Sabadell is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Sociedad B is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Sociedad B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sabadell won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.10.23	Celta de Vigo B - Sabadell	4:2 ✺
21.10.23	Sabadell - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Sabadell	3:1 ✺
08.10.23	Sabadell - Fuenlabrada	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Sabadell - Sestao	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLLW
- Real Sociedad B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.10.23	Real Sociedad B - Rayo Majadahonda	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Sociedad B	2:2 ✺
15.10.23	Real Sociedad B - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
08.10.23	Real Sociedad B - Barcelona B	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Cornellà - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.04.23	Real Sociedad B - Sabadell	1:1
05.11.22	Sabadell - Real Sociedad B	1:2

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