Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos (Soria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Spain	TPA Asturias


	Numancia		Sporting de Gijón

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	2.15
	3.6	3.3	2.1
	3.6	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.5	3.13	2.13
	3.49	3.17	2.06	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2	Watch
	3.63	3.34	2.1
	3.6	3.1	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (4.99)	3.2 ↓ (3.59)	2.09 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
26.2%

Draw
29.2%

Sporting de Gijón
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

25.8%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

24.5%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Numancia's performance.

Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting de Gijón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting de Gijón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Numancia - Sporting de Gijón Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Numancia will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kudakovskiy P. (G) 22. Grande A. 5. De Frutos O. 6. Gning M. 12. Vera G. 21. Delgado C. 16. Rementeria U. 17. Fernandez D. 8. Ribeiro A. 11. Seguin A. 9. Dieste C.	13. Joel C. (G) 20. Vazquez K. 15. Maras N. 29. Kembo Y. 3. Cote 6. Martin N. 28. Mbemba P. 27. Oyon A. 17. Dubasin J. 16. Caicedo J. 9. Queipo D.
Substitutes
30. Benito P. 3. Bonilla J. 10. Conte F. 13. Dorronsoro F. (G) 19. Jony 7. Sanchidrian R. 14. Sanz D. 28. Soro K. 18. Teijeira A.	7. Campos G. 11. Campuzano V. 5. Garcia P. 18. Gelabert Pina C. 10. Mendez N. 14. Olaetxea L. 19. Otero J. 4. Pier R. 2. Rosas G. 22. Sanchez D. 1. Yanez R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Mbemba P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Ribeiro A. 🟨,
59', De Frutos O. 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, Oyon A. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Numancia won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Numancia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sporting de Gijón is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Numancia won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:19 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Numancia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.24	Numancia - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Salamanca - Numancia	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Numancia - Langreo	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Llanera - Numancia	1:4 ✺
29.09.24	Numancia - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTTWW
- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
27.10.24	Albacete Balompié - Sporting de Gijón	3:3 ✺
24.10.24	Sporting de Gijón - Huesca	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Elche - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
14.10.24	Sporting de Gijón - Castellón	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Eibar - Sporting de Gijón	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
21.12.22	Numancia - Sporting de Gijón	0:3
Spanish LaLiga2
18.01.20	Numancia - Sporting de Gijón	2:0
09.11.19	Sporting de Gijón - Numancia	0:1
03.03.19	Numancia - Sporting de Gijón	1:2
16.09.18	Sporting de Gijón - Numancia	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.09.18	Numancia - Sporting de Gijón	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
10.02.18	Sporting de Gijón - Numancia	2:0

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