Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Salamanca		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.88	2.78
	2.63	2.85	2.95
	2.6	2.8	2.89	Watch
	2.5	2.7	2.8
	2.54	2.78	2.8
	2.57	2.8	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.5)	2.8 ↓ (3.05)	2.85 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salamanca
35.6%

Draw
32.5%

Numancia
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

29.5%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

29%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Salamanca - Numancia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Numancia (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Numancia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Delgado C. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Delgado Quintana J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Gassama S. 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Salamanca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Salamanca will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Salamanca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Salamanca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Salamanca - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.96%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salamanca
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.02.26	Coruxo - Salamanca	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Atlético Astorga - Salamanca	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Salamanca - Valladolid B	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	UD Ourense - Salamanca	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Salamanca - Langreo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLT
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.02.26	Numancia - Lealtad	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Numancia	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Numancia - Bergantiños	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Rayo Cantabria - Numancia	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Numancia - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Numancia - Salamanca	3:1
02.03.25	Numancia - Salamanca	2:0
20.10.24	Salamanca - Numancia	1:1

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