Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 29

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Numancia		Unión Adarve

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	4.75
	1.6	3.6	4.6
	1.63	3.75	5	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5.78
	1.62	3.57	5.78
	1.54	3.9	5.78
	1.61	3.7	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.76)	3.7 ↑ (3.4)	5.2 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
57.4%

Draw
24.9%

Unión Adarve
17.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.5%

26.6%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

26.3%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Numancia's performance.

Unión Adarve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Numancia - Unión Adarve Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Numancia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 0, Royo D. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 7).

Numancia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Unión Adarve is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Numancia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Numancia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.03.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Numancia	7:1 ✺
17.03.24	Numancia - Mensajero	3:0 ✺
10.03.24	Getafe B - Numancia	0:3 ✺
03.03.24	Numancia - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Navalcarnero - Numancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWT
- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.03.24	Unión Adarve - Illescas	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Atlético Paso - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Unión Adarve - Llerenense	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Montijo - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Unión Adarve - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.11.23	Unión Adarve - Numancia	1:1

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