Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 27

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Numancia		Mensajero

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	5
	1.39	4.33	6.25
				Watch
	1.4	4.09	8.19
	1.41	4.09	8.19
	1.36	4.55	8.05
	1.41	4.3	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.37)	4.28 ↑ (4.2)	7.01 ↓ (7.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
65.5%

Draw
21.4%

Mensajero
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

21.4%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

20.4%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Numancia - Mensajero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Lupu A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
83', Primo ⚽,
90+8', ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Numancia is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Numancia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.03.24	Getafe B - Numancia	0:3 ✺
03.03.24	Numancia - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Navalcarnero - Numancia	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Badajoz - Numancia	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Numancia - Illescas	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTLL
- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.03.24	Mensajero - Illescas	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Atlético Paso - Mensajero	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Mensajero - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Montijo - Mensajero	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Mensajero - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.11.23	Mensajero - Numancia	2:3

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