Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 24

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Navalcarnero		Numancia

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	2.95	3	2.2
	3.2	3.1	2.25	Watch
	2.92	2.95	2.14
	3.44	2.86	2.29
	3.29	3.05	2.24
	3.1	3.1	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (3)	3.02 ↑ (2.75)	2.21 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
28.9%

Draw
30%

Numancia
41.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.9%

32.7%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

32.1%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Navalcarnero - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.02.24	Illescas - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Navalcarnero - Atlético Paso	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Llerenense - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Navalcarnero - Montijo	4:2 ✺
21.01.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTWWT
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.02.24	Badajoz - Numancia	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Numancia - Illescas	2:3 ✺
04.02.24	Atlético Paso - Numancia	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Numancia - Llerenense	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Montijo - Numancia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.10.23	Numancia - Navalcarnero	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.11.26	Navalcarnero - Atlético Paso	✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.26	Navalcarnero - Betis	✺
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.11.26	Atlético Tordesillas - Numancia	✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.26	Numancia - Real Oviedo	✺

Navalcarnero - Numancia