Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Numancia B		Palencia CA

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.05	2.12
	3.56	3.2	2.04
	3.48	3.19	2.06
	3.5	3.14	2.01
	3.5	3	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3.03)	3.12 ↓ (3.19)	2.06 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia B
26.5%

Draw
29.3%

Palencia CA
44.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.2%

28.7%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

27.4%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia B than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Numancia B - Palencia CA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Numancia B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Palencia CA is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Numancia B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palencia CA	8	6	1	1	13:4	9	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Numancia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
24.01.26	Villaralbo - Numancia B	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Numancia B - Unionistas B	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Guijuelo - Numancia B	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Numancia B - Leonesa B	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Mojados - Numancia B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWL
- Palencia CA
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
24.01.26	Mirandés B - Palencia CA	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Palencia CA - Villaralbo	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Palencia CA - Colegios Diocesanos	3:1 ✺
03.01.26	Unionistas B - Palencia CA	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Palencia CA - Guijuelo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
21.09.25	Palencia CA - Numancia B	2:0

Numancia B - Palencia CA