Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 30

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	Nuneaton Town		Stourbridge

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	2.95
	2.03	3.4	3.1
	2.13	3.68	3.02
	2.14	3.52	2.99
	2.05	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.85)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	3.03 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuneaton Town
43.7%

Draw
26.3%

Stourbridge
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

25.3%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuneaton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuneaton Town's form might have worsened.

Stourbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stourbridge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuneaton Town than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuneaton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stourbridge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nuneaton Town - Stourbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nuneaton Town won 1.

Nuneaton Town in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Stourbridge is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stourbridge could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nuneaton Town is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Nuneaton Town won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Nuneaton Town won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuneaton Town
English Southern League Central Division
07.01.23	Nuneaton Town - Redditch United	1:0 ✺
02.01.23	Hednesford Town - Nuneaton Town	1:2 ✺
26.12.22	Nuneaton Town - Mickleover Sports	4:2 ✺
10.12.22	Nuneaton Town - Leiston	2:1 ✺
06.12.22	Coalville Town - Nuneaton Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWW
- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
14.01.23	Barwell - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Stourbridge - Royston Town	5:1 ✺
02.01.23	Redditch United - Stourbridge	0:3 ✺
26.12.22	Stourbridge - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Stourbridge - Needham Market	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
12.09.22	Stourbridge - Nuneaton Town	0:0
05.03.22	Nuneaton Town - Stourbridge	1:1
08.11.21	Stourbridge - Nuneaton Town	2:6
28.09.20	Stourbridge - Nuneaton Town	1:1
English FA Trophy
29.10.19	Stourbridge - Nuneaton Town	2:1
English Southern League Central Division
17.09.19	Nuneaton Town - Stourbridge	4:0

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