Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 42

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Stourbridge		Royston Town

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	4.45
	1.56	4.08	4.41
	1.64	4.16	4.59	Watch
	1.57	3.7	4.6
	1.55	4.05	4.77
	1.57	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.63)	3.9 ↑ (3.86)	4.47 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stourbridge
56.8%

Draw
23.1%

Royston Town
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

23.4%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

20.8%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stourbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Royston Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stourbridge that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royston Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Stourbridge - Royston Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Brazier L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 16 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Royston is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stourbridge won 3.

Stourbridge has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Royston is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stourbridge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stourbridge is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Stourbridge won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Stourbridge won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 1.7:0.3).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Stourbridge: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Stourbridge	9	2	4	3	9:12	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Royston Town - the odds 4.26 are the expected chance of winning is 21.16%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
18.04.26	Sudbury Town - Stourbridge	0:4 ✺
15.04.26	Stourbridge - Needham Market	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Stourbridge - Bishops Stortford	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Stourbridge - Alvechurch	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Spalding United - Stourbridge	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTTL
- Royston Town
English Southern League Central Division
18.04.26	Royston Town - Stamford	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Alvechurch - Royston Town	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Royston Town - St Ives Town	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Banbury United - Royston Town	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Royston Town - Redditch United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
13.12.25	Royston Town - Stourbridge	2:3
22.03.25	Royston Town - Stourbridge	2:2
12.10.24	Stourbridge - Royston Town	1:0
20.04.24	Stourbridge - Royston Town	1:0
11.11.23	Royston Town - Stourbridge	1:1
07.01.23	Stourbridge - Royston Town	5:1
27.08.22	Royston Town - Stourbridge	3:3

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