Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 5

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Nuova Cosenza		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.35	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.36	3.2	3.38
	2.35	3.21	3.2	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.6
	2.33	3.28	3.14	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.69)	3.16 ↓ (3.18)	3.12 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
39.9%

Draw
29.8%

Sampdoria
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

29.5%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

30.2%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nuova Cosenza's performance.

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampdoria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nuova Cosenza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampdoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Nuova Cosenza - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cosenza: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (G) 55. Hristov A. 5. Camporese M. 23. Venturi M. 19. Ciervo R. 28. Kouan C. 34. Florenzi A. 6. Charlys 11. D'Orazio T. (C) 30. Mazzocchi S. 10. Fumagalli T.	33. Silvestri M. (G) 24. Bereszynski B. 5. Riccio A. 23. Depaoli F. 18. Venuti L. 15. Akinsanmiro E. 4. Vieira R. 7. Bellemo A. 3. Barreca A. 9. Coda M. 84. Sekulov N.
Substitutes
17. Caporale A. 2. Cimino B. 15. Dalle Mura C. 39. Kourfalidis C. 4. Martino P. 24. Mauri J. 16. Ricciardi M. 31. Ricci G. 20. Rizzo Pinna A. 9. Sankoh M. 32. Strizzolo L. 22. Vettorel T. (G)	80. Benedetti L. 16. Borini F. 25. Ferrari A. 21. Giordano S. 44. Ioannou N. 14. Kasami P. 20. La Gumina A. 17. Meulensteen M. 30. Ravaglia N. (G) 72. Veroli D. 1. Vismara P. (G) 28. Yepes G.
Coaches
Alvini M.	Sottil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Mazzocchi S. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, D'Orazio T. ⚽,
23', Vieira R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Barreca A. ↓, Ioannou N. ↑,
46', Akinsanmiro E. ↓, Benedetti L. ↑,
46', Vieira R. ↓, Yepes G. ↑,
46', Fumagalli T. ↓, Strizzolo L. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Ioannou N. ⚽, Venuti L. (A),
51', 2 - 1, Strizzolo L. ⚽,
68', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Sankoh M. ↑,
69', Florenzi A. ↓, Kourfalidis C. ↑,
75', Sekulov N. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
75', Bellemo A. ↓, La Gumina A. ↑,
76', D'Orazio T. ↓, Ricci G. ↑,
80', Camporese M. 🟨,
83', Venuti L. 🟨,
84', Ciervo R. ↓, Mauri J. ↑,
90+7', Kourfalidis C. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sampdoria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
01.09.24	Palermo - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
28.08.24	Nuova Cosenza - Spezia	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Mantova - Nuova Cosenza	3:2 ✺
18.08.24	Nuova Cosenza - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.08.24	Torino - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTLWL
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
31.08.24	Sampdoria - Bari	0:0 ✺
27.08.24	Salernitana - Sampdoria	3:2 ✺
24.08.24	Sampdoria - Reggiana	0:1 ✺
18.08.24	Frosinone - Sampdoria	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.08.24	Sampdoria - Como	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
23.02.24	Nuova Cosenza - Sampdoria	1:2
22.10.23	Sampdoria - Nuova Cosenza	2:0

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