Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 3

Date: 28 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Nuova Cosenza		Spezia

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.88	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.75
	2.5	3.1	2.85	Watch
	2.62	3.12	3.05
	2.58	3.11	2.94	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.5
	2.53	3.25	2.84	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.79)	3.16 ↓ (3.18)	2.83 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
36.8%

Draw
29.9%

Spezia
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

29.7%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

30.3%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.1%	75.8%	12.1%

Nuova Cosenza - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). Spezia will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 60% – 90%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (G) 23. Venturi M. 5. Camporese M. 17. Caporale A. 19. Ciervo R. 6. Charlys 34. Florenzi A. 28. Kouan C. 11. D'Orazio T. (C) 10. Fumagalli T. 30. Mazzocchi S.	1. Sarr M. (G) 2. Wisniewski P. 37. Mateju A. 77. Bertola N. 7. Elia S. 5. Esposito Sa. 8. Nagy A. 29. Cassata F. 31. Aurelio G. 20. Di Serio G. 27. Soleri E.
Substitutes
12. Baldi G. (G) 2. Cimino B. 15. Dalle Mura C. 55. Hristov A. 39. Kourfalidis C. 4. Martino P. 24. Mauri J. 16. Ricciardi M. 20. Rizzo Pinna A. 9. Sankoh M. 22. Vettorel T. (G) 21. Zilli M.	25. Bandinelli F. 44. Benvenuto M. 36. Candelari P. 6. Degli Innocenti D. 9. Esposito F. 11. Falcinelli D. 65. Giorgeschi S. 55. Hristov P. 12. Mascardi D. (G) 13. Reca A. 4. Salvador F. 32. Vignali L.
Coaches
Alvini M.	D'Angelo L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', D'Orazio T. 🟨,
18', Elia S. ↓, Vignali L. ↑,
32', Mateju A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Charlys 🟨,
52', Cassata F. 🟨,
61', D'Orazio T. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
61', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Sankoh M. ↑,
70', Florenzi A. ↓, Mauri J. ↑,
71', Kouan C. ↓, Rizzo Pinna A. ↑,
71', Soleri E. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,
71', Nagy A. ↓, Bandinelli F. ↑,
74', Esposito Sa. 🟨,
80', Di Serio G. ↓, Falcinelli D. ↑,
81', Cassata F. ↓, Candelari P. ↑,
88', Fumagalli T. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 1.

Recent matches Cosenza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Spezia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Spezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
25.08.24	Mantova - Nuova Cosenza	3:2 ✺
18.08.24	Nuova Cosenza - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.08.24	Torino - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Nuova Cosenza - Foggia	2:0 ✺
24.07.24	Trapani - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWT
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
24.08.24	Spezia - Frosinone	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Pisa - Spezia	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
12.08.24	Salernitana - Spezia	4:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.24	Spezia - Fezzanese	5:2 ✺
30.07.24	Spezia - Bochum	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
05.05.24	Nuova Cosenza - Spezia	2:2
28.10.23	Spezia - Nuova Cosenza	0:0
10.07.20	Spezia - Nuova Cosenza	5:1
29.11.19	Nuova Cosenza - Spezia	1:1
22.04.19	Nuova Cosenza - Spezia	1:0
08.12.18	Spezia - Nuova Cosenza	4:0

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