Match Info

Date: 20 May 2022, Friday

Location: Stadio San Vito (Cosenza)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Nuova Cosenza		Vicenza Virtus

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.5	3	2.9
	2.5	3.1	2.9
	2.55	2.85	2.85
	2.71	3.13	2.95
	2.5	3.1	2.9
	2.6	3.2	2.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.12)	3.07 ↑ (3)	2.89 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
36.8%

Draw
30.7%

Vicenza Virtus
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

31.2%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

33.1%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuova Cosenza's form might have worsened.

Vicenza Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vicenza Virtus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuova Cosenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vicenza Virtus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	47.6%	23.8%

Nuova Cosenza - Vicenza Virtus Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Vicenza will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 47.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.2% – 69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Cosenza has the most likely position - 16 (100%), has project points - 35, has currently - 35, has a good chance of relegated (67%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Recent matches Cosenza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vicenza Virtus is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
12.05.22	Vicenza Virtus - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
06.05.22	Nuova Cosenza - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Pisa - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
25.04.22	Nuova Cosenza - Pordenone	3:1 ✺
18.04.22	Cremonese - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWTWL
- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie B
12.05.22	Vicenza Virtus - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
06.05.22	Alessandria - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
30.04.22	Vicenza Virtus - Lecce	2:1 ✺
25.04.22	Como - Vicenza Virtus	0:2 ✺
18.04.22	Vicenza Virtus - Perugia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
12.05.22	Vicenza Virtus - Nuova Cosenza	1:0
12.02.22	Vicenza Virtus - Nuova Cosenza	0:0
12.09.21	Nuova Cosenza - Vicenza Virtus	2:1
16.03.21	Nuova Cosenza - Vicenza Virtus	1:1
06.12.20	Vicenza Virtus - Nuova Cosenza	1:1

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