Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Vicenza Virtus		Lecce

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.3	1.66	Watch
	4.6	3.6	1.73
	4.9	3.5	1.72
	4.5	3.4	1.75
	5.1	3.75	1.76
	4.75	3.4	1.78
	5.05	3.56	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (4.69)	3.5 ↑ (3.3)	1.74 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vicenza Virtus
19.6%

Draw
26.7%

Lecce
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

28.5%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

28.2%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Vicenza Virtus - Lecce Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Vicenza will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Lecce will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lecce: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Lecce has the most likely position - 1 (81.22%), has project points - 72, has currently - 68, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very good chance of promoted (99%), has a good chance of win league (81%).

Vicenza Virtus is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lecce is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Lecce is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vicenza Virtus won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Vicenza Virtus won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie B
25.04.22	Como - Vicenza Virtus	0:2 ✺
18.04.22	Vicenza Virtus - Perugia	1:2 ✺
10.04.22	Benevento - Vicenza Virtus	1:0 ✺
06.04.22	Vicenza Virtus - Crotone	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	Brescia - Vicenza Virtus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLTL
- US Lecce
Italian Serie B
25.04.22	Lecce - Pisa	2:0 ✺
18.04.22	Reggina - Lecce	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Lecce - SPAL	1:0 ✺
05.04.22	Ternana - Lecce	1:4 ✺
02.04.22	Lecce - Frosinone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.01.22	Lecce - Vicenza Virtus	2:1
Club Friendly
30.07.21	Vicenza Virtus - Lecce	0:1
Italian Serie B
17.04.21	Vicenza Virtus - Lecce	1:2
27.12.20	Lecce - Vicenza Virtus	2:1

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