Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 22

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)

Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Cremonese		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	6.25	Watch
	1.58	3.8	5.5
	1.6	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.61	3.84	5.99	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4.8
	1.61	3.62	6.28	Watch
	1.6	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.71)	3.69 ↑ (3.64)	5.69 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
58%

Draw
25.4%

Nuova Cosenza
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

25.9%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

25.1%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	55%	10%

Cremonese - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Cosenza will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 55%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fulignati A. (G) 26. Antov V. 23. Ceccherini F. 15. Bianchetti M. 18. Collocolo M. 6. Pickel C. 19. Castagnetti M. 27. Vandeputte J. 4. Barbieri T. 20. Vazquez F. 90. Bonazzoli F.	1. Micai A. (G) 29. Sgarbi F. 23. Venturi M. 15. Dalle Mura C. 16. Ricciardi M. 6. Charlys 20. Rizzo Pinna A. 11. D'Orazio T. (C) 10. Fumagalli T. 9. Artistico G. 34. Florenzi A.
Substitutes
10. Buonaiuto C. 9. De Luca M. 12. Drago G. (G) 11. Johnsen D. 37. Majer Z. 62. Milanese T. 99. Nasti M. 5. Ravanelli L. 21. Saro G. (G) 25. Triacca D. 98. Zanimacchia L.	17. Caporale A. 2. Cimino B. 5. Gargiulo M. 55. Hristov A. 4. Martino P. 24. Mauri J. 30. Mazzocchi S. 36. Novello J. 31. Ricci G. 32. Strizzolo L. 22. Vettorel T. (G) 21. Zilli M.
Coaches
Stroppa G.	Alvini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Bianchetti M. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Pickel C. ⚽, Vandeputte J. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Ricciardi M. ⚽, Artistico G. (A),
29', Collocolo M. 🟨,
31', Ricciardi M. 🟨,
43', Charlys 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', Ricciardi M. 🟨,
66', Fumagalli T. ↓, Gargiulo M. ↑,
66', Charlys ↓, Cimino B. ↑,
69', Gargiulo M. 🟨,
72', Pickel C. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
72', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
74', D'Orazio T. ↓, Martino P. ↑,
75', Artistico G. ↓, Mazzocchi S. ↑,
79', Barbieri T. ↓, Zanimacchia L. ↑,
84', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Vazquez F. ⚽, Vandeputte J. (A),
90+2', Vandeputte J. ↓, Majer Z. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Johnsen D. ⚽, Castagnetti M. (A),

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 4.

Cremonese is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cosenza is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Cremonese is a favorite.

There will not play in Cosenza: Kouan C. (Yellow Cards) Kourfalidis C. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Cremonese: Moretti L. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Cosenza: Gyamfi B. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Cremonese won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
12.01.25	Frosinone - Cremonese	0:3 ✺
29.12.24	Cremonese - Brescia	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Cesena - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Cremonese - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Cittadella - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWTT
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
12.01.25	Nuova Cosenza - Mantova	2:2 ✺
29.12.24	Sassuolo - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Nuova Cosenza - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Carrarese - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Cesena - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
18.08.24	Nuova Cosenza - Cremonese	1:0
14.01.24	Cremonese - Nuova Cosenza	1:0
26.09.23	Nuova Cosenza - Cremonese	1:2
18.04.22	Cremonese - Nuova Cosenza	3:1
04.12.21	Nuova Cosenza - Cremonese	0:2
05.04.21	Nuova Cosenza - Cremonese	0:1
19.12.20	Cremonese - Nuova Cosenza	1:0

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