The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alessandria 13.9%
Draw 23.9%
Vicenza Virtus 62.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.7%
28.4%
51.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.7%
28.3%
52%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alessandria's form might have worsened.
Vicenza Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vicenza Virtus's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alessandria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vicenza Virtus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alessandria - Vicenza Virtus Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Farroni A. (G) 31. Busatto T. 23. Ciancio S. 20. Femia N. 17. Gega E. 24. Mastalli A. 4. Nichetti M. 14. Pellitteri A. 3. Rossi E. 66. Sepe A. 6. Soler I.
98. Confente A. (G) 26. De Col F. 17. Delle Monache M. 76. Fantoni N. 9. Ferrari F. 15. Greco J. 7. Proia F. 10. Ronaldo 73. Sandon T. 44. Talarico R. (C) 18. Tronchin S.
Substitutes
22. Barmaz Y. (G) 55. Colletta G. 5. Cusumano F. 80. De Ponti O. 28. Foresta G. 29. Laukzemis K. 34. Laureana A. 53. Molinaro S. 54. Muratore M. 21. Nunzella L. 16. Parrinello T. 18. Pellegrini L. 33. Spurio A. (G)
27. Busato G. 8. Cavion M. 77. Conzato F. 99. Della Morte M. 1. Gallo E. (G) 23. Laezza G. 33. Lattanzio A. 12. Massolo S. (G) 28. Mogentale T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Fantoni N. ↓, Lattanzio A. ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Busatto T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ferrari F. 🟨,
46', Proia F. ↓, Della Morte M. ↑,
46', Gega E. 🟨,
71', Talarico R. ↓, Busato G. ↑,
71', Sepe A. ↓, Pellegrini L. ↑,
71', Gega E. 🟨,
73', Femia N. 🟨,
73', Femia N. ↓, Cusumano F. ↑,
86', Rossi E. ↓, Parrinello T. ↑,
86', Mastalli A. ↓, Foresta G. ↑,
86', Tronchin S. ↓, Conzato F. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Conzato F. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).
Alessandria is Relegated to
Vicenza Virtus is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs
Alessandria is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Vicenza Virtus is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Vicenza Virtus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Vicenza Virtus is absolute favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
Italy
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Farroni A. (G) 
Femia N. 
Gega E. 
Soler I. 
Ronaldo 
Laukzemis K. 
