Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 23

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Referee: Monaldi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Nuova Cosenza		Cittadella

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.4	2.87	3.2
	2.45	2.95	3.1	Watch
	2.49	3	3.36
	2.45	2.98	3.27	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.6
	2.46	2.94	3.29	Watch
	2.45	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.18)	2.96 ↓ (3.16)	3.25 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
39.1%

Draw
31.9%

Cittadella
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

29.6%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

29.7%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	35.7%	50%

Nuova Cosenza - Cittadella Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Cittadella will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cittadella: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (C) 29. Sgarbi F. 15. Dalle Mura C. 23. Venturi M. 19. Ciervo R. 28. Kouan C. 5. Gargiulo M. 31. Ricci G. 34. Florenzi A. 20. Rizzo Pinna A. 9. Artistico G.	36. Kastrati E. (G) 2. Salvi A. 13. Capradossi E. 24. Carissoni L. 19. D'Alessio F. 16. Vita A. (C) 5. Casolari F. 17. Tronchin S. 32. Masciangelo E. 7. Pandolfi L. 21. Rabbi S.
Substitutes
17. Caporale A. 6. Charlys 2. Cimino B. 11. D'Orazio T. 10. Fumagalli T. 55. Hristov A. 39. Kourfalidis C. 4. Martino P. 30. Mazzocchi S. 32. Strizzolo L. 22. Vettorel T. (G) 21. Zilli M.	8. Amatucci F. 23. Branca S. 64. Cecchetto A. 11. Desogus J. 78. Maniero L. (G) 31. Okwonkwo O. 35. Piccinini S. 91. Ravasio M. 28. Rizza A. 74. Sanogo A. 18. Tessiore A.
Coaches
Alvini M.	Dal Canto A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Dalle Mura C. (Own goal),
35', Venturi M. 🟨,
45+3', Tronchin S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kastrati E. ↓, Maniero L. ↑,
46', Pandolfi L. 🟨,
56', Pandolfi L. ↓, Okwonkwo O. ↑,
57', Tronchin S. ↓, Amatucci F. ↑,
59', Ricci G. ↓, Martino P. ↑,
60', Venturi M. ↓, Strizzolo L. ↑,
68', Sgarbi F. 🟨,
69', Dalle Mura C. 🟨,
70', Casolari F. ↓, Branca S. ↑,
73', Ciervo R. ↓, D'Orazio T. ↑,
73', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Mazzocchi S. ↑,
80', Capradossi E. 🟨,
80', Kouan C. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
83', Fumagalli T. 🟨,
90+3', Rabbi S. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 0.

Cosenza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cittadella is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cosenza will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Cosenza: Ricciardi M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Cittadella: Angeli M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sanogo A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cosenza: Gyamfi B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cittadella: Djibril A. (Injury) Negro S. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:12 (average 0.9:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
18.01.25	Cremonese - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
12.01.25	Nuova Cosenza - Mantova	2:2 ✺
29.12.24	Sassuolo - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Nuova Cosenza - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Carrarese - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLTL
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
18.01.25	Cittadella - Mantova	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Cesena - Cittadella	0:0 ✺
29.12.24	Cittadella - Palermo	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Cittadella - Reggiana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
19.10.24	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	0:0
09.03.24	Nuova Cosenza - Cittadella	0:0
09.12.23	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	2:0
15.04.23	Nuova Cosenza - Cittadella	1:1
27.11.22	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	1:1
06.05.22	Nuova Cosenza - Cittadella	1:0
30.01.22	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	1:1

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