Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Nuova Monterosi		Paganese

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.6	3.1
	2.65	2.6	2.88
	2.5	2.7	2.85
	2.69	2.67	3.01
	2.62	2.7	3
	2.66	2.72	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.14)	2.67 ↓ (3)	2.97 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Monterosi
35.2%

Draw
34.1%

Paganese
30.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

30.5%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

22.8%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Monterosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuova Monterosi's form might have worsened.

Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Monterosi than the current prediction. (+22.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuova Monterosi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paganese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nuova Monterosi - Paganese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 12).

Monterosi is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Paganese is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monterosi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Monterosi FC
Italian Serie C Group C
09.10.21	ACR Messina - Nuova Monterosi	1:3 ✺
03.10.21	Nuova Monterosi - Avellino	2:1 ✺
29.09.21	Taranto - Nuova Monterosi	0:0 ✺
26.09.21	Nuova Monterosi - Palermo	1:1 ✺
19.09.21	Potenza - Nuova Monterosi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 WWTTT
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
10.10.21	Paganese - Catanzaro	0:2 ✺
03.10.21	Campobasso - Paganese	2:0 ✺
29.09.21	Paganese - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
26.09.21	Bari - Paganese	1:1 ✺
19.09.21	Paganese - Taranto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLWTW

Nuova Monterosi - Paganese

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Nuova Monterosi - Paganese Predictions

Preview

Form

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