Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 28

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Nuova Monterosi		Avellino

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5	3.6	1.55
	5.5	3.75	1.57	Watch
	5	3.65	1.55
	5.79	3.72	1.63
	5.5	3.6	1.53
	5.41	3.64	1.57
	5.2	3.7	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.34 ↑ (4.58)	3.67 ↑ (3.53)	1.57 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Monterosi
17%

Draw
24.8%

Avellino
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

25.7%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

25.4%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Monterosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Monterosi than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-3%)

Nuova Monterosi - Avellino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Rigon A. (G) 16. Tartaglia A. 33. Mbende E. 23. Sini S. 4. Verde F. 25. Gori M. 32. Scarsella F. 21. Gavioli L. 27. Crivello R. 9. Eusepi U. 91. Vano M.	22. Ghidotti S. (G) 14. Cancellotti T. 16. Rigione M. 38. Frascatore P. 94. Liotti D. 96. Rocca M. 24. De Cristofaro A. 21. Armellino M. 7. D'Ausilio M. 9. Patierno C. 11. Sgarbi L.
Substitutes
20. Bittante L. 93. Coronas C. (G) 5. Crescenzi A. 8. Di Francesco D. 3. Di Renzo A. 11. Rossi A. 22. Santilli D. (G) 99. Silipo A. 30. Tolomello F.	26. Cionek T. 35. Gori G. 60. Llano Massa M. T. 31. Marconi M. 13. Mule E. 1. Pane P. (G) 33. Pezzella S. 12. Pizzella A. (G) 2. Ricciardi M. 10. Russo R.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monterosi won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Monterosi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Avellino is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Monterosi won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Monterosi won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Monterosi FC
Italian Serie C Group C
18.02.24	Audace Cerignola - Nuova Monterosi	1:2 ✺
15.02.24	Casertana - Nuova Monterosi	4:3 ✺
10.02.24	Nuova Monterosi - Potenza	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Taranto - Nuova Monterosi	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Nuova Monterosi - Città di Brindisi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WLTLT
- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
19.02.24	Avellino - Casertana	2:1 ✺
14.02.24	Potenza - Avellino	2:2 ✺
11.02.24	Avellino - ACR Messina	0:1 ✺
03.02.24	Monopoli - Avellino	0:1 ✺
29.01.24	Avellino - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
22.10.23	Avellino - Nuova Monterosi	2:1
23.04.23	Avellino - Nuova Monterosi	0:2
18.12.22	Nuova Monterosi - Avellino	0:0
12.02.22	Avellino - Nuova Monterosi	2:0
03.10.21	Nuova Monterosi - Avellino	2:1
Italian Serie D - Group G
24.02.19	Avellino - Nuova Monterosi	2:1
04.11.18	Nuova Monterosi - Avellino	0:0

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