Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Play Out - Final

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday


	Potenza		Nuova Monterosi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3.2	3.7
	1.9	3.3	4
	1.97	3.2	4.29
	1.93	3.19	4.29
	1.86	3.28	4.17
	1.84	3.35	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.65)	3.25 ↓ (3.55)	4.03 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potenza
48.7%

Draw
28.4%

Nuova Monterosi
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25.7%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

25.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Potenza's form might have worsened.

Nuova Monterosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Potenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Monterosi than the current prediction. (-4%)

Potenza - Nuova Monterosi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Alastra F. (G) 55. Hristov A. 16. Sbraga A. 3. Maddaloni R. D. 98. Hadziosmanovic C. 81. Candellori K. 28. Schiattarella P. 7. Steffe D. 29. Burgio R. 9. Caturano S. 10. Di Grazia A.	67. Forte F. (G) 5. Crescenzi A. 33. Mbende E. 2. Sini S. 3. Di Renzo A. 6. Parlati S. 17. Fantacci T. 25. Gori M. 21. Gavioli L. 9. Eusepi U. 91. Vano M.
Substitutes
5. Armini N. 23. Castorani M. 24. Cucchietti T. (G) 17. Maisto F. 2. Marchisano M. 19. Pace F. 46. Paura M. 31. Pier Francesco G. (G) 11. Rossetti M. 70. Saporiti E. 26. Verrengia B. 77. Volpe G.	20. Bittante L. 13. Cinaglia D. 93. Coronas C. (G) 27. Crivello R. 77. Ferreri G. 29. Palazzino F. 19. Piroli D. 12. Rigon A. (G) 11. Rossi A. 32. Scarsella F. 99. Silipo A. 16. Tartaglia A. 30. Tolomello F. 4. Verde F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Parlati S. 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Caturano S. ⚽,
56', Fantacci T. ↓, Silipo A. ↑,
57', Di Grazia A. ↓, Volpe G. ↑,
57', Steffe D. ↓, Castorani M. ↑,
62', Gavioli L. ↓, Scarsella F. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Di Renzo A. ⚽,
70', Caturano S. 🟨,
76', Caturano S. ↓, Rossetti M. ↑,
79', Di Renzo A. ↓, Rossi A. ↑,
79', Sini S. ↓, Crivello R. ↑,
87', Burgio R. ↓, Verrengia B. ↑,
87', Volpe G. ↓, Maisto F. ↑,
90+8', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Potenza won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Potenza is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Potenza won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Potenza won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group A
12.05.24	Nuova Monterosi - Potenza	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
27.04.24	Potenza - Virtus Francavilla	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	ACR Messina - Potenza	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Potenza - Foggia	0:3 ✺
06.04.24	Taranto - Potenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTTLL
- Nuova Monterosi FC
Italian Serie C Group A
12.05.24	Nuova Monterosi - Potenza	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
27.04.24	Nuova Monterosi - Foggia	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Turris - Nuova Monterosi	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Nuova Monterosi - Giugliano	3:1 ✺
07.04.24	ACR Messina - Nuova Monterosi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
12.05.24	Nuova Monterosi - Potenza	0:1
Italian Serie C Group C
10.02.24	Nuova Monterosi - Potenza	1:1
30.09.23	Potenza - Nuova Monterosi	1:0
07.01.23	Nuova Monterosi - Potenza	0:0
11.09.22	Potenza - Nuova Monterosi	2:2
23.01.22	Nuova Monterosi - Potenza	3:1
19.09.21	Potenza - Nuova Monterosi	1:1

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