Match Info

DENMARK: 1ST DIVISION - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 29

Date: 12 May 2023, Friday

Location: Lollands Bank Park (Nykøbing Falster)

Referee: Mostafa S. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Nykøbing		Hillerød

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.8	1.91	Watch
	3.7	3.4	1.87
	3.7	3.65	1.89
	3.88	3.72	1.93
				Watch
	3.78	3.68	1.92	Watch
	3.55	3.55	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↓ (4.25)	3.63 ↓ (3.65)	1.9 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nykøbing
25.1%

Draw
25.7%

Hillerød
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

25.4%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

27%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nykøbing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hillerød could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Nykøbing - Hillerød Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nykøbing will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Hillerød will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Hillerød will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nykøbing won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Nykøbing won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nykøbing FC
Danish 1 Division
06.05.23	HB Køge - Nykøbing	3:1 ✺
28.04.23	Hobro - Nykøbing	3:1 ✺
21.04.23	Nykøbing - Fremad Amager	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Hillerød - Nykøbing	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Nykøbing - HB Køge	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL
- Hillerød Fodbold
Danish 1 Division
05.05.23	Fremad Amager - Hillerød	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Hillerød - Fredericia	1:2 ✺
23.04.23	HB Køge - Hillerød	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Hillerød - Nykøbing	2:0 ✺
10.04.23	Hobro - Hillerød	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
15.04.23	Hillerød - Nykøbing	2:0
15.10.22	Nykøbing - Hillerød	1:1
17.09.22	Hillerød - Nykøbing	3:1
Danish 2 Division - Group 2
27.03.21	Nykøbing - Hillerød	0:0
17.10.20	Hillerød - Nykøbing	1:3

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