Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 27

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ternopilsky Misky Stadion (Ternopil)


	Nyva Ternopil		Feniks-Mariupol

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.15	2.1
	3.12	3.12	2.04
	2.81	3.11	2.45	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.05
	3.4	3.11	2.06
	2.54	2.92	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.54)	3.05 ↑ (2.92)	2.21 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nyva Ternopil
29.3%

Draw
29.7%

Feniks-Mariupol
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

30.5%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nyva Ternopil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nyva Ternopil's form might have worsened.

Feniks-Mariupol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Feniks-Mariupol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nyva Ternopil than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nyva Ternopil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Feniks-Mariupol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nyva Ternopil - Feniks Mariupol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Olkhovyi I. (G) 94. Burtnyk V. 44. Davydov S. (C) 35. Demyanchuk A. 4. Demydenko A. 30. Galas T. 21. Gerega O. 11. Mykhalchuk M. 45. Napuda V. 10. Palamarchuk I. 91. Rezepov D.	55. Zadereyko A. (G) 4. Balaba N. 39. Balan D. (C) 5. Chornomorets O. 2. Gagun R. 27. Kucherov V. 8. Kukharuk A. 9. Kyslenko S. 10. Orikhovskyi P. 29. Remenyak A. 33. Sydorenko V.
Substitutes
14. Bats M. 86. Borys A. (G) 70. Dudik A. 7. Mudryi M. 27. Mykhayliv V. 96. Pach Y. 17. Pezhynskyi M. 18. Posyevkin R. 64. Romaniuk V. 23. Sharun V. (G)	90. Bogdanov A. 25. Gorin V. 14. Grytsak N. 77. Kovalyuk R. 84. Kusyi A. 66. Melnyk O. 12. Oryshchak S. (G) 16. Radchenko M. 15. Revakovych R. 96. Synytsya O. 21. Tkachuk A. 1. Zhupanskyi V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Balaba N. 🟨,
8', Galas T. ↓, Pezhynskyi M. ↑,
21', Demydenko A. 🟨,
33', Remenyak A. 🟨,
36', Balan D. ↓, Synytsya O. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Balaba N. ↓, Gorin V. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Kyslenko S. ⚽,
77', 0 - 2, Orikhovskyi P. ⚽,
78', Kyslenko S. ↓, Grytsak N. ↑,
81', Rezepov D. ↓, Dudik A. ↑,
81', Palamarchuk I. ↓, Romaniuk V. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 3, Remenyak A. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Nyva T may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nyva T won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Nyva T won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Fenix Mariupol	10	4	3	3	12:11	1	15
12	Nyva Ternopil	10	2	5	3	9:9	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Nyva Ternopil - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 34.84%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Feniks-Mariupol - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 34.84%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nyva Ternopil
Ukrainian Persha Liga
02.05.26	Nyva Ternopil - Metalist Kharkiv	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Nyva Ternopil - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chernihiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
07.04.26	Nyva Ternopil - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLTLT
- Feniks-Mariupol
Ukrainian Persha Liga
01.05.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Feniks-Mariupol	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Inhulets	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Feniks-Mariupol	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Metalurh Zaporizhya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.10.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Nyva Ternopil	0:2
23.05.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Nyva Ternopil	0:1
19.04.25	Nyva Ternopil - Feniks-Mariupol	2:3
12.11.22	Nyva Ternopil - Feniks-Mariupol	1:1
23.09.22	Feniks-Mariupol - Nyva Ternopil	0:2

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