Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 17

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho (Recife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Náutico Capibaribe		Anápolis

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	3.6	6.75	Watch
	1.37	3.9	7.9	Watch
	1.39	4.05	9.27
	1.57	3.50	6.54	Watch
	1.36	3.75	8.5
	1.38	3.88	8.55	Watch
	1.65	3.24	5.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.62)	3.7 ↑ (3.3)	7.56 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
63.1%

Draw
24.7%

Anápolis
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

27.2%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

25%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náutico Capibaribe's performance.

Anápolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anápolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Náutico Capibaribe - Anápolis Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Anápolis will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - Anápolis (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Anápolis (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Muriel Becker (G) 2. Arnaldo 80. Bruno Mezenga 11. Helio Borges 23. Igor Fernandes 5. Igor Pereira 40. Joao Maistro 20. Patrick Allan 3. Rayan 7. Vinicius (C) 22. Wenderson	1. Paulo Henrique (G) 5. Andre 2. Fabio 19. Jefinho 11. Joao Felipe 15. Kaique Maciel 30. Lucao 8. Paulinho (C) 23. Rafael Costa 6. Rafael Verrone 28. Samuel
Substitutes
35. de Sousa Oliveira T. 21. Felipe Redaelli 16. Felipe Santana 36. Halan 70. Igor Bolt 13. Indio 15. Kayon 12. Kelvin 17. Marcos Ytalo 26. Raimar 41. Samuel 1. Wellerson R. (G)	41. Joao Borim 77. Johnatan Cardoso 20. Luan Sales 4. Rafael Dumas 32. Rafael Mineiro 31. Ravel Pelegrini (G) 10. Tata 14. Vinicius Lucas 18. Vinicius Spaniol
Coaches
Helio dos Anjos	Gabardo Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Arnaldo 🟨,
45+2', Kaique Maciel 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', Rayan ↓, Raimar ↑,
67', Bruno Mezenga ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
73', Joao Felipe ↓, Luan Sales ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Igor Bolt ⚽,
80', Wenderson ↓, Samuel ↑,
80', Helio Borges ↓, Kelvin ↑,
86', Patrick Allan ↓, Felipe Redaelli ↑,
86', Paulinho ↓, Rafael Mineiro ↑,
86', Samuel ↓, Tata ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 15).

Náutico is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Anápolis has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Náutico is the clear favorite.

We predict that Náutico will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C
10.08.25	Londrina - Náutico Capibaribe	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil	3:0 ✺
26.07.25	Guarani - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
21.07.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Caxias	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Figueirense - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WWWWT
- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Serie C
10.08.25	Anápolis - Brusque	2:1 ✺
04.08.25	Confiança - Anápolis	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Figueirense - Anápolis	1:2 ✺
21.07.25	Anápolis - Guarani	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Caxias - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLWWL

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