The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Náutico Capibaribe 52%
Draw 31.6%
Retrô Brasil 16.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.3%
31.8%
14.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.5%
30%
14%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70%
30%
0%
Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Náutico: 41.6% – 98.4%.
1. Paulo Ricardo (G) 3. Dankler 2. David Junio 17. Diego Guerra 11. Douglas 5. Kadi Silva 18. Lucas Sampaio 7. Luiz Henrique 8. Radsley 4. Rayan Ribeiro 9. Vagner Love
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Rayan Ribeiro 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Douglas ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rayan Ribeiro ↓, Guilherme ↑,
50', Junior Todinho 🟨,
59', Juninho ↓, Felipe Saraiva ↑,
64', Diego Guerra ↓, Fabricio Pereira ↑,
64', Douglas ↓, Ericson ↑,
65', Paulo Sergio ↓, Samuel Otusanya ↑,
65', Junior Todinho ↓, Rosa G. ↑,
70', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
70', Luiz Henrique ↓, Danillo ↑,
71', Arnaldo ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
71', Wenderson ↓, Ramon ↑,
79', Yuri 🟨,
80', Lucas Sampaio 🟨,
84', 🟨,
85', Lucas Sampaio ↓, Wesley Junio ↑,
87', Wesley Junio 🟨,
90+5', Radsley 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Náutico is Qualified for Pernambucano (Play Offs Semi~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 3.
Náutico has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Retrô has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Náutico is a strong favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Náutico won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
Brazil
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