Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 16

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Café (Londrina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Londrina		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	2.95	3.25
	2.15	3	3.15	Watch
	2.22	3.26	3.24
	2.22	3.13	3.27	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.3
	2.15	3.13	3.19	Watch
	2.04	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.07)	3.07 ↓ (3.25)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
42.4%

Draw
29.7%

Náutico Capibaribe
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.1%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

28.8%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Londrina - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 5. Alison (C) 14. Cedric 10. Eliel 7. Gabriel Canela 11. Joao Tavares 6. Mauricio Junior 9. Quirino 4. Wallace 3. Yago Lincoln 8. Ze Breno	19. Muriel Becker (G) 2. Arnaldo 18. Auremir (C) 80. Bruno Mezenga 33. Carlinhos 11. Helio Borges 70. Igor Bolt 5. Igor Pereira 40. Joao Maistro 8. Marco Antonio 26. Raimar
Substitutes
20. Caio Rafael 12. Elzo Neto (G) 19. Guilherme Ferreira 16. Gustavo Santos 17. Henrique 15. Marco Antonio 22. Rikelmi 18. Robson Duarte 21. Thauan 23. Vitinho 13. Wellington	21. Felipe Redaelli 15. Kayon 30. Marco Antonio 17. Marcos Ytalo 20. Patrick Allan 9. Paulo Sergio 3. Rayan 1. Wellerson R. (G) 22. Wenderson
Coaches
Roger Silva	Helio dos Anjos

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Auremir 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 🟨,
63', Auremir ↓, Rayan ↑,
63', Igor Bolt ↓, Kayon ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Bruno Mezenga ⚽,
68', Gabriel Canela ↓, Vitinho ↑,
68', Joao Tavares ↓, Thauan ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Bruno Mezenga ⚽,
73', Eliel ↓, Robson Duarte ↑,
74', Ze Breno ↓, Caio Rafael ↑,
77', Arnaldo ↓, Marcos Ytalo ↑,
79', Helio Borges 🟨,
81', Alison 🟥,
83', Quirino ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
87', Helio Borges ↓, Wenderson ↑,
90+2', Igor Pereira 🟨,
90+4', Rayan 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 4.

Londrina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Náutico is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Londrina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Londrina won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie C
04.08.25	Ituano - Londrina	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Londrina - CS Alagoano	3:1 ✺
19.07.25	Londrina - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Botafogo PB - Londrina	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Londrina - Guarani	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLT
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C
03.08.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil	3:0 ✺
26.07.25	Guarani - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
21.07.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Caxias	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Figueirense - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Floresta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
24.08.24	Londrina - Náutico Capibaribe	3:2
Brazilian Serie B
23.07.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Londrina	1:2
10.04.22	Londrina - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0
21.09.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Londrina	1:2
23.06.21	Londrina - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0
11.11.17	Náutico Capibaribe - Londrina	1:2
22.07.17	Londrina - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0

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