Match Info

Date: 15 February 2022, Tuesday


	Náutico Capibaribe		Atlético de Alagoinhas

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	6.75
	1.45	4.1	5.6	Watch
	1.48	3.95	5.6
	1.47	4.14	6.46
	1.42	3.9	6.5
	1.48	4.25	6.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)	4.11 ↑ (4.1)	6.2 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
63%

Draw
22.3%

Atlético de Alagoinhas
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

22.1%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

12.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Atlético de Alagoinhas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-25.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náutico Capibaribe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético de Alagoinhas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Náutico Capibaribe - Atlético de Alagoinhas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs) and 5).

Recent matches Náutico is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético de Alagoinhas is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético de Alagoinhas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Náutico is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
12.02.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Fortaleza	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
09.02.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
01.02.22	Sete de Setembro - Náutico Capibaribe	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.01.22	Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLWWL
- Atlético de Alagoinhas
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
12.02.22	Botafogo PB - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
09.02.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - UNIRB	3:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
30.01.22	Bahia de Feira - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:0 ✺
27.01.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWLL

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