Match Info

Date: 16 July 2022, Saturday


	Náutico Marcílio Dias		Aimoré

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.65	2.5
	2.9	2.45	2.75
	2.85	2.6	2.55
	2.69	2.51	2.87
	3	2.5	2.5
	2.7	2.84	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.43)	2.59 ↑ (2.45)	2.65 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Marcílio Dias
31.6%

Draw
34.6%

Aimoré
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

36.6%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

40.1%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Náutico Marcílio Dias's form might have worsened.

Aimoré has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aimoré's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náutico Marcílio Dias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aimoré than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aimoré, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Marcílio Dias is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aimoré is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Marcílio Dias won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Marcílio Dias won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Serie D
09.07.22	FC Cascavel - Náutico Marcílio Dias	3:0 ✺
03.07.22	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Azuriz	0:1 ✺
26.06.22	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Próspera Criciúma	2:0 ✺
18.06.22	Grêmio Juventus - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
12.06.22	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Caxias	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLW
- CE Aimoré
Brazilian Serie D
10.07.22	Aimoré - Próspera Criciúma	1:0 ✺
03.07.22	Aimoré - Caxias	1:1 ✺
25.06.22	FC Cascavel - Aimoré	0:1 ✺
18.06.22	São Luiz - Aimoré	0:1 ✺
12.06.22	Aimoré - Azuriz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
17.04.22	Aimoré - Náutico Marcílio Dias	3:2
04.09.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Aimoré	3:2
06.06.21	Aimoré - Náutico Marcílio Dias	4:1

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